25 Feb 2011 @ 5:24 AM 

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The NCAA Championship is practically here and it will likely be time to decide on champions in March Madness gambling.



What ought you watch for in the first round when you are choosing games? Let’s look at each of the first round matchups in March Madness odds and a handful of things to remember.
1v16
A seed hasn’t lost to a number 16 seed outright. The typical margin of victory is 25.3 points per competition. You may hope that a #16 seed covers but it’s hard to argue for them.

2v15
Once in a while a #2 seed will lose in this match but it has only occurred four times in NCAA Tourney history. The standard margin of victory is 16.8 points per competition. A #15 seed almost won last year but Robert Morris lost in ot to Villanova.

3v14
The number 3 seeds win about 84% of the time, though upsets can take place in this match. The average margin of victory is down to 11.2 points per competition. Georgetown was beaten last year as a number 3 seed.
4v13
The number four seeds are practically as good as the 3 seeds. They win by an average of 9.2 points per competition. That doesn’t mean 13 seeds cannot win in March Madness odds. A year ago Murray State defeated Vanderbilt and 2 years ago it was Cleveland State beating Wake Forest. Three years ago 2 number 13 seeds were the victors.
5v12
This is the match where the longshot has done quite well. The average margin of victory for the number five seed is only 4.8 points per competition. In the last nine years the five seeds are only 23-17. The public has caught on to this trend but at least one upset still happens almost every year.
6v11
6 seeds are practically as good as five seeds. They are 22-10 over the last 7 years and that’s better than the statistics for five seeds.
7v10
This is truly a toss-up competition in March Madness gambling at the sportsbook with the average margin of victory for 7 seeds at only 2.5 points per competition. Since 2007 the 7 seeds are only 9-7.
8v9
This match is about as even as it can be and actually the nine seed has the edge.


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Posted By: tang
Last Edit: 25 Feb 2011 @ 05:24 AM

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